Old Dominion
W-L: ( 5-12) PR = 76.1626Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 14-12 214 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 5-11 221 H VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 10-12 225 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 12- 8 228 H Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 10- 8 306 H Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 12-11 308 A Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 11-12 310 H Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 5- 4 314 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 10-11 317 A Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 7-12 321 H Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 2-17 325 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 10-13 328 H South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 3-21 404 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 7-17 411 A East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 7- 8 418 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 5- 9 425 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 7-19
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Youngstown State 14-12 2 3 -0.51
214 A Elon 5-11 -6 -8 + 2.15
221 H VCU 10-12 -2 -6 + 3.67
225 H Gardner Webb 12- 8 4 6 - -2.40
228 H Rider 10- 8 2 5 - -3.27
306 H Furman 12-11 1 1 0.48
308 A Winthrop 11-12 -1 1 -1.64
310 H Xavier 5- 4 1 1 0.45
314 A UNC-Charlotte 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.09
317 A Longwood 7-12 -5 3 --- -7.96
321 H Vanderbilt 2-17 -15 -8 --- -6.34
325 A Coastal Carolina 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.35
328 H South Florida 3-21 -18 -11 - -2.83
404 A Temple 7-17 -10 -12 1.69
411 A East Carolina 7- 8 -1 -9 +++ 7.74
418 A Monmouth (NJ) 5- 9 -4 -5 1.00
425 H James Madison 7-19 -12 -13 1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Longwood 7-12 -5 3 --- -7.96 321 H Vanderbilt 2-17 -15 -8 --- -6.34 225 H Gardner Webb 12- 8 4 6 - -2.40 228 H Rider 10- 8 2 5 - -3.27 328 H South Florida 3-21 -18 -11 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A East Carolina 7- 8 -1 -9 +++ 7.74 214 A Elon 5-11 -6 -8 + 2.15 221 H VCU 10-12 -2 -6 + 3.67 314 A UNC-Charlotte 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.09 325 A Coastal Carolina 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.35 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 14-12 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.02 28.37
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 5-11 -16.96 23.21 1.37 1.02 -7.94
3 H VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 10-12 -16.70 23.47 -1.37 1.02 -9.20
3 H Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 12- 8 -28.77 11.40 -1.37 1.02 20.44
3 H Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 10- 8 -27.64 12.52 -1.37 1.02 22.74
3 H Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 12-11 -22.89 17.28 -1.37 1.02 32.43
3 A Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 11-12 -25.75 14.42 1.37 1.02 -12.42
3 H Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 5- 4 -22.92 17.25 -1.37 1.02 32.36
3 A UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 10-11 -21.02 19.15 1.37 1.02 -10.01
3 A Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 7-12 -28.06 12.11 1.37 1.02 -13.60
3 H Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 2-17 -14.71 25.46 -1.37 1.02 -8.19
3 A Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 10-13 -18.76 21.41 1.37 1.02 -8.86
3 H South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 3-21 -11.20 28.97 -1.37 1.02 -6.40
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 7-17 -13.42 26.75 1.37 1.02 -6.14
3 A East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 7- 8 -16.36 23.80 1.37 1.02 -7.64
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 5- 9 -20.10 20.06 1.37 1.02 -9.55
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 7-19 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 1.02 -5.30
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31.08
|
winning pts = 136.3474 losing points = -105.2636
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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